[Az Joe]

It’s hard to say about the 3rd party vote. Who can tell? I’m thinking of at least 55 maybe as much as 10% but relay I don’t know.

Aside from all the other factors, Romney apparently really had a problem with his turnout machinery, his “ORCA” system. Maybe that cost him 1 or 2% maybe a state or two, probably still would have lost.

I worry about the Trump turnout machine although maybe he doesn’t need one.

[JediJones]

Found IBD/Tipp from 10/24/2012. Obama had expanded his lead to 3 points. But the current IBD poll has 7% less people committed to either Trump or Clinton. There is so much 3rd party and undecided vote out there. That's why Pat Caddell may indeed be right that the potential for a shock result is enormous.

https://twitter.com/IBDinvestors/status/261165831994626048

Definitely suggests