[Steve Van Doorn]

said, "Turnout weighting looks too high for both D and R is why D/R/I: 42/37/20"
that is D+6 which is the same as 2012. Hillary will not pull that many Democrats. independent are about 20 points to short. We need to take into account the corruption rate which this year will be high both parties do not want him to win.

[rb22982]

Yeah, the delta for Ds and Rs is probably close to right but the it’s probably closer to 35/30/35 rather than 42/37/20