[MMaschin]

Rasmussen went from +2 Trump to +7 Clinton back to +3 Trump in about a week so who knows.

To me, that gives the poll a sense of believably.

After the tape came out, I was mad. I questioned my support. But after a couple days, and hearing Hillary's voice, and thinking about what was at stake - I came back around. So, to me, that large drop, and slow pickup, reflect exactly what I was going through.

Curious thing, all the polls that show Trump currently in the lead, show that. The polls that show Hillary with a large lead, look linear. That seems unnatural, and wrong to me.

[rb22982]

I think the polls you are talking about will show a large hillary lead for as long as they can and then in the last day change it to relatively close so they won’t be “too far off” and will just say undecideds broke Trump. They want to discourage R turnout as much as possible.

[convoter2016]

I agree that Rasmussen's poll jumps from +2 Trump to +7 Clinton to +3 Trump around the time of the Billy Bush Donald Trump bus video means that Rasmussen is honestly trying to predict the election. Rasmussen may still be wrong but at least it's a credible poll. After the 2012 election Rasmussen admitted that using only respondents who answered land line phones might have biased the poll toward Republicans. Rasmussen now includes on-line voters in their polls. We have to wait to see if Rasmussen has improved their predictions.