Posted on 10/17/2016 7:23:58 AM PDT by COUNTrecount
'Our polling methods are bunk': Political science professor says pollsters have NO IDEA who will vote in November
Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by an average of 6.3 percent in surveys used in Real Clear Politics' projections Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight says there's an 86.6 percent likelihood that Clinton will win; Trump has a 13.4 percent chance of pulling it off Helmut Norpoth is a political science professor at Stony Brook University and an election forecaster whose model has been correct since 1996 He's advising voters to 'hold off on trusting poll-driven proclamations of a Clinton victory just yet' His model, based off of the candidates' primary performances, has Trump winning on Nov. 8; it's 87 percent certain A casual observer of national polling on the White House race might conclude that Hillary Clinton is the assured victor.
All but three of the surveys taken since the first general election debate that are included on industry website Real Clear Politics have Clinton ahead. She leads Donald Trump by an average of 6.3 percent in recent surveys.
However, Helmut Norpoth, a political science professor at Stony Brook University and an election forecaster whose model has correctly predicted the last five national contests, is advising voters to 'hold off on trusting poll-driven proclamations of a Clinton victory just yet.'
'Clinton leads, but our polling methods are bunk,' the headline of his latest op-ed for The Hill declares.
(Excerpt) Read more at dailymail.co.uk ...
I think that you are very correct in your assessments on this thread.
The media (print or broadcast so-called “journalism”) is all about persuasion and manipulation of the reader/viewer/listener to accomplish some purpose. These “polls” are simply one tool that is used to do this.
These fictional polls (internally generated pseudo-news) depress the opposition and lay the groundwork for the acceptance of the fraud that is to come.
Somehow, the media needs to be made more fearful of being caught lying to the American people. As it stands now, they couldn’t care less.
Good job, I say I”m voting for Trump and then I answer “undecided” for every other question.
Larry Sabato was in an interview the other day saying enthusiasm and how many people show up at your rallies has nothing to do with winning.
But he hasn’t been right for a long time on picking a president.
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