We were told by the Trump Campaign that our phone call-door bell group in Clermont Cty OH (just eas of Cincy) that we needed to hit 80% for Trump to cancel out Cyahuga Cty (Cleveland) - so the enthusiasm gap makes his doable. Another tin bit is 70% of the state’s vote is Columbus and north
If Trump hits 85% Rs he wins. Period.
No one in Team Trump thinks Cankles will even come close to Obama. So actually, what you said set’s a MUCH lower bar to win OH.