Here is a snippet from the detailed poll data. This is what the NBC/WSJ thinks is an unbiased sample.
Here is a snippet from the detailed poll data. This is what the NBC/WSJ thinks is an unbiased sample.
I am surprised they actually let this slip out.
In this sample 85% voted in 2012. No way that goes higher this year. Of that sample 54% went Obama, 38% went Romney. So one might call this a D+16 sample. Anyone disagree?
This is a very telling question. First up it is D+14 straight up Romney vs Zero. No way.
Second it has 15 points no prior vote. What faction of that is 18 to 21%? Half? A third? I suspect that enthusiasm weights this fraction at least two thirds Trump if not more.
Third, 2 points “Can’t remember”? Really? BS. All Trump. Shy.
So what this poll, once it is “de-biased” is telling us is that even when spotting Hillary 24 points she only wins by half that. In other words, Trump Landslide. Trump by an unbeatable by fraud ten percent. At least they can try the fraud but the effort will be so obvious no one will believe it.
i don’t have a link to the poll...can you tell me how many questions were asked about Trump’s “accusers”? How many questions were asked about hillary’s wikileaks?
OK—so we can adjust—Obama won for four points—this shows twelve point difference—add eight points to Trump..
Voila!
Even Steven!
So what that means is that Trump is scoring slight HIGHER than Romney did with the same pool of voters.
Now one wonders about turnout...which candidate in this pool is more likely to get his/its voters out? I suspect Trump, as he has given people a reason to vote for him and plenty of reasons (not that they’re needed) to not vote for Cousin It - whereas It’s still has not conveyed a single reason to vote for it (i.e., how will it improve improve things if elected?).
When I saw 11 points, I didn’t think that was any hope left, but clearly there is - because of that internal. Thanks for finding it!