Posted on 10/15/2016 9:11:09 AM PDT by justlurking
Debate + WikiLeaks
= the bleeding isn’t stopping. She’s cratering.
They know what’s going on and have decided for reasons unknown she has to be hidden away until the next debate.
They will rest her, rehearse her and then hope the Hillary Media can drag her across the finish line.
IMHO, this is a perfect storm brewing for Trump. He’s out there every day, fighting all over the country.
“Undecideds almost always break to the challenger.
Clinton is the de facto incumbent, she represents continuity.
An incumbent polling below 45% late in a campaign is generally dead meat.”
First two points are dead on accurate. Third is a wrinkle due to multiple candidates.
Remember, Bill Clinton only won with 43% of the vote.
But Hillary Clinton is the de facto incumbent and shows no sign of breakout which is clearly worrying her campaign. So, out come more phony women “victims.”
“If Trump can be in a tie or slightly ahead in these flawed polls in spite of the nonstop media barrage, well, that is a very good sign.
Trump supporters need to stop with the concern trolling and the hand wringing. Keep the faith and turn out in force on November 8th.”
*BUMP* Exactly. :)
“So much for the Bimbo gate”?
Not hardly. The first words at the Tuesday debate will be democrat Chris Wallace grilling Donald Trump about the latest Hillary Clinton paid operatives saying Trump gropped them. Would not be surprised if Wallace rehashes the unsubstantiated allegations word-for-word. Then the bitch hell from weighs-in and give her assessment of Trump’s unfitness to be president. He might as well get the same Bill Clinton victims another front seat because the last “debate” will be a repeat of the second - Trump on trial.
Just because the results are what we want doesn't make them accurate.
They called the outcome of the 2014 election:
PPD’s Big Debut: Most Accurate Election Projection Model Of 2014, Hands Down
This will be their first Presidential election, so it will be interesting to see how they do.
The big difference at PPD: they don't adjust for party ID, They know what it is (about D+6) for any sample. They do adjust for demographics and geography.
Since it's a tracking poll, they re-interview participants over time to see how opinions are changing.
The history is most interesting -- you can see how the trend reacts to events. And, they also track "Enthusiasm", which is very revealing: a substantial percentage Clinton and Johnson voters are only "slightly" or "not at all" enthusiastic. In contrast, about 2/3'rds of Trump voters are "extremely" enthusiastic -- twice as many as any other candidate.
Undecideds are always going to break hard for Trump... Hillary is a known entity if folks aren’t already supporting her they are not likely to. Period.
Hillary is stuck at low 40s. Her only chance at winning has always been repress Trump turnout...
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