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To: goldstategop

The stats I quoted are for all white women. Here is the proof.....
Here’s the source

https://www.google.com/amp/www.newyorker.com/news/john-cassidy/whats-up-with-white-women-they-voted-for-romney-too/amp

Here’s the data

You don’t believe me? Here are some figures from this year’s exit poll, which the Edison Research company conducts for a consortium of media companies, and from previous ones. In 2004, Bush got fifty-five per cent of the white female vote, and Kerry got forty-four per cent—a “reverse gender gap” (one working in the G.O.P.’s favor) of eleven points. In 2008, McCain got fifty-three per cent of the white female vote, and Obama got forty-six per cent—a gap of seven points. Compared to four years earlier, the reverse gender gap in this demographic had decreased by four points, indicating that the Democrats were making progress in attracting the votes of white women. But this year, that trend turned around again. Far from narrowing further, the reverse gender gap among white women widened to fourteen points. Romney got fifty-six per cent of the white female vote; Obama got just forty-two per cent.

If Trump only has a three point lead with white women then it’s bad

Very bad

I personally don’t believe anything Fox does anymore


81 posted on 10/14/2016 11:59:16 AM PDT by wardaddy (the traitorous GOPe deserves Third of May 1808 if ever a party did....)
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To: wardaddy

You’re not taking into account the fact that there is abundance evidence to suggest that there will be more white voters overall and fewer black voters than in 2012. 42% of a huge number is better than 55% of a smaller number.
This poll also greatly undersamples independents, who are about 40% of the electorate, which means that there are too many Dem white women and too few Independent white women in the sample, accounting for some if not all of the difference between 42% and 55%.

I know people are scared to death of the polls after 2012, but more recent data points support my thesis that this is NOT 2012. The polls were skewed 4 points toward the Dems in 2014, and Brexit polling was way off because they failed to to account for new voters. Those scenarios are more likely to play out this election than a reprise of 2012—Trump is not Romney and Hillary is not Obama.


85 posted on 10/14/2016 12:18:08 PM PDT by LNV (Nov. 2016-Trump the B!tch!)
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