shhhhh I have a secret, listen closely.......
Pollsters do not weight polls by party identification.
They never have. This “undersampling of Republicans” thing is total and utter nonsense.
They will weight by demographics, but NEVER by party ID. So the reason there are more Dems in this poll is because more people are saying this year that they are Dems because so many people don’t like Donald Trump.
The reason there are more Dems in this poll is because more Dems chose to answer the phone and take part in the survey.
The party splits they report bear no resemblance to what the turnout will be on November 8.
If you think the turnout will be D+9, you're delusional. Thus, if you think this poll accurately reflects public opinion, you're equally delusional.
Any poll that doesn't reflect likely voter turnout using realistic D/R/I splits is thus pure propaganda.
We certainly know where the enthusiasm lies, and enthusiasm is what drives turnout. Therefore, Hillary being up +7 in a +9D poll is not anything to be concerned about, except inasmuch as there are suckers who believe it reflects actual public opinion.
This poll is not reflective of what will occur on November 8, unless you believe that turnout will really be D+9 and the proportion of Independents will be as ridiculously low as in this sample.
The Revolution is ON!
Vote Trump!
They will weight by demographics, but NEVER by party ID. So the reason there are more Dems in this poll is because more people are saying this year that they are Dems because so many people don’t like Donald Trump.
And even fewer like sore loser Ted Cruz. Trump is so “unlikable” yet he managed to wipe the floor with Saint Ted of Goldman.