Dems had a 100,000+ early vote lead in FL in 2012, Obama won the state by 75,000 votes. That was Obama, who also won 50% of the independent vote in FL that year. If Hillary can pull 50% of the independent vote, and generate the same enthusiasm among Dems that Obama did, she can win. I don’t see it.
The early votes have not been counted yet. It is the counting that counts and that presents more variables and possibilities that are not necessarily reflected in the actual votes as cast.
Rs lead 112,000 as of today