Campaign rally attendance is not a reliable indicator.
Dead democrat voters and virtual democrat voters don’t attend campaign rallies but are two of the democrats most reliable voting blocs.
“Campaign rally attendance is not a reliable indicator.”
So tell us what the hell is?
Run ads and people swear they dont see any.
Have tens of thousands come to your rallies = That doesnt mean anything.
Few people show up to theirs = Democrats supposedly dont go to rallies
Be up in a poll = “Well that is just today. What about tomorrow!!!?”
Jesus, there is NO “tell”, OK? You dont have one any better than anyone else.
But I can bet if Trump couldn’t get anyone to show up, we would be hearing all types of grief.
I don’t agree. Here is my analysis(I mentioned this on another thread):
Trump rallies are always packed and over several thousand. People wait in line for hours to get in and there is always an overflow crowd. When I watch on Youtube (I’ve watched most of his rallies), his rallies are always viewed live with over 15,000 viewers. Some as high as 45,000. If you go back to view older rallies, you’ll see views from 50,000 to over 150,000.
Contrast to Clinton. Her rallies draw 1,000 or less. They are staged and packed with either paid people (like Pa townhall) or bused in. The live views on YouTube for any of her rallies peaked at about 1,800.
Pence got more live viewers than Clinton for his rallies.
So I wager that the polls are only sampling about 700 people most of which are eager to give a survey. It’s a whole new election when a number of people don’t have landlines and most people hang-up on any solicitation or survey. There are a lot of people that haven’t voted before or in the last few elections that will be voting now. How many times have you seen people going all out to hang Trump signs, decorate yards, etc. I see nothing like this movement for Hillary.
Finally, I look at a similar election, Bush vs. Kerry. All the polls had Kerry up but when you looked at Kerry’s rallies, there was no enthusiasm. Bush’s rallies were good, lively and you could see it in his eyes (like Trump) he cared about the people.
If Trump does ok in the next two debates and there is no major event against Trump (Oct. surprise), he will win.