You really are a pinhead. I am saying the worst case has to be presented and planned for, for the 1 in 3 times that does happen - because if they don't, there could be massive loss of life. It would be irresponsible to do otherwise.
We had all kinds of posters downcasting Sandy four years ago. All it did was cause over fifty billion in damages.
The media do hype storms with wild worst-case scenarios, for their own financial gain. At present, this storm looks bad according to the models. The media hype is off the charts. Does this serve a good purpose, or a bad one?
It’s good if the storm actually turns out as bad as they’re saying, since it encourages more to take the matter seriously and evacuate. But, if it’s not as bad as they’re saying, people get jaded and dismissive, and won’t take future warnings and evacuation orders seriously.
It’s a mixed bag and we won’t know until we know.
I think you are confusing “opinion” with “advice”.