[alancarp]

Euro model's wind chart (via Dr. Ryan Maue, @RyanMaue).

This looks uncomfortably close to shore... even as the GFS is starting to trend back to the east.

This map suggests hurricane force winds up to 40 miles inland along Florida, with a near-direct-hit at Titusville/Cape Canaveral.

[NautiNurse]

Your wealth of info is greatly appreciated, as always!

[alancarp]

Okay, the 12Z European model has just thrown a weird monkey wrench into the machine. Check this map:

Yes - that's a loop.

This model brings the beast ashore - barely - around Melbourne, rides A1A to Jacksonville (I know - A1A isn't continuous), and when Nicole gets close enough, LOOPS BACK to hammer Florida again!

Of note - those numbers are hours... if this were to happen (and the Euro has typically been pretty good), then that's a real long time on target: 3 days until landfall, then another 4-5 days before maybe falling apart on the peninsula.

I sure hope this is wrong.