Replies

Here is an accu-weather take from earlier this morning:
..............
The East Coast of the United States remains on alert for potential impacts from Hurricane Matthew during the middle to latter part of this week.
Matthew, currently a Category 4 (major) hurricane in the Caribbean, is expected to track northward from eastern Cuba to the Bahamas Tuesday into Wednesday.
Beyond that, the hurricane could track along or near the U.S. East Coast.
While there will be some impact from the storm on the U.S., how significant impacts are along the Atlantic Seaboard will depend on Matthew’s strength and proximity to the coast.
At this time, possible tracks range from an initial landfall along the southern Atlantic coast to a storm remaining a few hundred miles offshore.

Into early this week, the speed of Matthew and how it interacts with other weather systems will be a determining factor on impact on the U.S.
Initially, Matthew will emerge out of the Caribbean as it tracks northward between an area of high pressure over the Atlantic and a dip in the jet stream over the eastern U.S. and Gulf of Mexico, according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Mike Doll.
Where exactly this atmosphere highway sets up between these two features will determine how close Matthew comes to Florida.
The next key weather system will likely be a storm system set to track into the central U.S. by Tuesday.
“If that system is slower to reach the eastern U.S., the chance that Matthew hits the Carolinas is greater,” Doll said.
Significant impacts from rain, wind and flooding could then spread up the East Coast.
RELATED:
2016-2017 US winter forecast
6 ways to prepare now for hurricanes
Major Hurricane Matthew poses severe risk to lives in Caribbean
“If the system is faster, it could then pick up Matthew and kick it out to sea,” Doll said.
Even in this scenario, Matthew may still impact a smaller part of the East Coast before getting steered away. It is also possible that Matthew initially gets pushed away from the coast, but then gets drawn back into New England or the Maritime Provinces of Canada.
“The key message is that we cannot rule out a direct impact along the East Coast,” Doll said. “However, confidence is high that Matthew will not track into the Gulf of Mexico.”
AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Bernie Rayno cited some similarities of the weather pattern that could unfold next week to that of Hurricane Hazel in 1954.
Matthew will first have to cross over eastern Cuba early this week, which will cause the hurricane to weaken. However, strengthening is likely as the storm pulls away from Cuba later in the week.
Once the hurricane emerges north of Cuba, the exact track of the storm during the middle and latter part of the week will become more clear.
By then, the position and movement of other weather systems will be more set in stone and should lend a clue as to a track at sea or a turn toward the U.S. coast.

Should Matthew remain offshore of the East Coast, impacts would be minimal. However, there will still be a period of rough surf, strong rip currents, beach erosion and dangerous seas that shifts northward.
People along the southern Atlantic coast of the U.S. may want to consider securing their small craft and preparing to protect property against stormy conditions, should Matthew turn toward land.
Coastal, shipping and cruise interests from Miami, Florida, to Cape Hatteras, North Carolina; Cape Cod, Massachusetts; and Bar Harbor, Maine, should closely monitor the progress of Matthew.
Beyond the U.S., people living in or venturing to Bermuda and the Maritime
.............................>P?
basically what it says is after it goes across cuba it will regain strength and we can start forecasting where it will go.Til then its hard to diagnose.