As FReeper LS has stated, it all depends on turnout model expected. We’re all hoping turnout is closer to ‘14, but Crooked’s constituency is far more likely to vote for Pres than down-ticket races
2016 is very similar to 2000 election.
2008 was weird .
Soros crashed the market with his hacks overseas .
Mccain quit campaigning and decided to pocket the campaign cash since he was grandfathered as a long time DC hack.
2012 there was an incumbent cycle and Romney was awful stuck up who turned off the Reagan Democrats .
these dem pollsters know that but there marching orders are to sell a lie