[Political Junkie Too]

I looked at the internals to see the D/R splits, and they did seem to be overweighted. Even so, they only moved the needle in Florida and Colorado averages, which is still a big deal.

In my model, it dropped Trump's probability from 44% to 38%.

-PJ

[UKrepublican]

How do you formulate your model?

[MNJohnnie]

Familiar with the GIGO phenomenon?

Again, most of your data is based on a 2012 turn out model.

Do you fact data like this into your model or just assume a static electorate?

Gallup: Democrats who ‘will definitely vote’ at 16-year low

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/gallup-democrats-who-will-definitely-vote-at-16-year-low/article/2602965