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White House Watch: Clinton 42%, Trump 41%, Johnson 7%, Stein 2%
Rasmussen ^ | 9/29/16 | Rasmussen Reports

Posted on 09/29/2016 5:32:29 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT

Following Monday night’s debate, Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump are running virtually even in Rasmussen Reports’ first daily White House Watch survey.

Our latest national telephone and online survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Clinton with 42% support to Trump’s 41%. Libertarian candidate Gary Johnson earns seven percent (7%) of the vote, while Green Party nominee Jill Stein holds steady at two percent (2%). Three percent (3%) still like some other candidate, and five percent (5%) remain undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

Trump had been moving ahead over the two previous weeks and held a 44% to 39% lead over Clinton last week at this time. It was the first time he had been ahead since mid-July.

Eighty percent (80%) say they are sure which candidate they will vote for, and among these voters, Clinton and Trump are tied with 48% support each. Among voters who say they could still change their minds, it’s Clinton 34%, Trump 33%, Johnson 25% and Stein 8%.


TOPICS: Breaking News; Politics/Elections
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

They’re using the 2012 baseline is which is way off.

In 2014 polls, we also saw Republicans underrepresented.

2016 is shaping up to be more like 2014 than 2012.


21 posted on 09/29/2016 5:43:08 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

Fake poll to bait Trump into attacking hillary personally then the media can say Trump bullies women and is not presidential. there are other polls like the Google poll shows that Trump got a bump not hillary


22 posted on 09/29/2016 5:43:23 AM PDT by Democrat_media (Hillary promised EXECUTIVE amnesty for 40 million illegals in her 1st 100 days as prez)
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To: trebb

What’s generally the split between women and men in these polls? That will definitely affect the results. I know women traditionally vote more often than men, but I’m not sure that’s going to be the case this time. Hard to say, but I’m sure the Clinton campaign is hoping for a big female turnout. That’s why all this emphasis on sexism, and the Miss Universe issue.


23 posted on 09/29/2016 5:44:44 AM PDT by pieceofthepuzzle
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To: Byron_the_Aussie

NOW you’re talking! Lol


24 posted on 09/29/2016 5:44:44 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

Fake poll to bait Trump into attacking hillary personally in the next debate then the media can say Trump bullies women and is not presidential. there are other polls like the Google poll shows that Trump got a bump not hillary


25 posted on 09/29/2016 5:45:09 AM PDT by Democrat_media (Hillary promised EXECUTIVE amnesty for 40 million illegals in her 1st 100 days as prez)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

I figured this would happen. The MSM narrative can move public opinion (lots of LIV out there) a few percent. Same thing happened after the DNC. Her support comes up in fits and spurts, whereas Trumps support is a slow trend line upwards. We’ll see how this plays out. The last few weeks is where the important action is going to play out.


26 posted on 09/29/2016 5:45:58 AM PDT by Paradox ("Wishing for a tautology to enact itself is not a strategy.")
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To: goldstategop

I am worried. The murdering muslim terrorist in Washington State illegally registered and voted in the last 3 elections.

This is an indication of what we suspected all along - massive voter fraud

http://www.king5.com/news/local/investigators-may-probe-cascade-mall-suspects-citizenship-status-voting-record/327490798


27 posted on 09/29/2016 5:46:54 AM PDT by milford421
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To: Democrat_media

Trump didn’t take a severe loss.

If the debate hurt him, that’s not apparent from this poll.

Hillary didn’t get the big bump that should have happened had she actually won.


28 posted on 09/29/2016 5:47:07 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: JudyinCanada; All

“I really don’t understand how anyone can change their minds about something so important, and so based in your values.”

If you depended on CNN and the old media for information, you would believe Trump is an evil, racist, lying NAZI. So why would you vote for him?

Hillary is depicted as an intelligent, caring grandmother who wants to make the country better for working people.

It is all about where your information comes from.


29 posted on 09/29/2016 5:47:32 AM PDT by marktwain
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To: MNJohnnie

Yeah, but the “definitely vote” likely understates how many will end up voting. It is one of several ways to judge party splits, but not likely the most accurate.


30 posted on 09/29/2016 5:48:04 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: usafa92

That’s not an oversampling. More actual voters are Democrats than Republicans.


31 posted on 09/29/2016 5:48:47 AM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

Not good.


32 posted on 09/29/2016 5:49:53 AM PDT by SoFloFreeper
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To: Democrat_media

We’re getting into the same trap as past years, picking and choosing polls. This is the 2nd poll post-debate showing her (the other is PPP, Reuters is pre-debate). The Google poll showed Trump up 1, correct, now 2? That’s not a bump.


33 posted on 09/29/2016 5:50:38 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: 9YearLurker

Debate changed few minds.

That benefits Trump as the front-runner.

He is in a strong position heading into the last two debates.

Hillary, not so much.


34 posted on 09/29/2016 5:50:56 AM PDT by goldstategop ((In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever))
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To: 9YearLurker

Agreed


35 posted on 09/29/2016 5:51:27 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: NYC-RepublicanCT

This poll is at such great odds with the PPP poll released today that it seems to make all the polling useless.


36 posted on 09/29/2016 5:52:07 AM PDT by billyboy15
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To: goldstategop

After non-stop negative media coverage of Donald and drive by articles...and praise heaped upon Hillary.... is this all there is? is this it? She ain’t gonna win.


37 posted on 09/29/2016 5:52:09 AM PDT by Blue Turtle
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To: JudyinCanada
LOL! Agreed. 😊 I don't understand how anyone can be "undecided" at this point.
38 posted on 09/29/2016 5:53:25 AM PDT by proud American in Canada (May God Bless the U.S.A. (Trump, said on 9-28: Hillary 'will put the Oval Office up for sale')
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To: billyboy15

Not sure I follow. PPP was Crooked +4. This is Crooked +1. ???


39 posted on 09/29/2016 5:53:59 AM PDT by NYC-RepublicanCT (Trump vs Media/Dems/Obamas/NeverTrumpers. Still winning!!!)
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To: 9YearLurker

Pick any poll you like. Clip 2% off the Dem sample. What happens to the poll results?


40 posted on 09/29/2016 5:54:31 AM PDT by MNJohnnie ( Tyranny, like Hell, is not easily conquered)
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