“D+4 for 2012 is not going to be too far off”
In 2004 when W got reelected the turnout was R+4 and W wasn’t even that popular.
Obama had unprecedented high turnout among minorities and millenials that no other dem has been able to replicate. That’s why they don’t have majorities in the house or the senate.
And Romney had turnout issues among evangelicals because of his religion.
R +4 sounds like a return to normal.
Obama was the exception because of his biracial heritage and his broad appeal to Democrats, Independents and moderate Republicans.
Hillary doesn’t have that advantage and she also comes across as a hardcore leftist true believer. Obama had charisma and likability and Hillary doesn’t have those qualities in evidence.
No wonder she’s tanking in the polls.