Plus they only polled 10% independents, which is insane imo. I know PA doesn’t have a humongous indie vote like some other states, but 10 is clearly too low.
Just looked at Pennsylvania’s gov’t site.
From what I gleaned, 48.7% of registered voters are Democrat.
37.8% are Republicans.
13.4% are No Party Affiliation or Other Party.
So Trump really has to appeal across all lines to win. Carrying 100% of the Republicans (assuming a motivated turnout on both sides of course) is not enough.
Independents generally break for the challenger. Hillary is considered the incumbent in this race. I would have expected way more independents especially in PA... whoa.....
“Plus they only polled 10% independents, which is insane imo. I know PA doesn’t have a humongous indie vote like some other states, but 10 is clearly too low.”
I agree, that does not sound right. IMHO they did not weigh the data correctly. Something is out of kilter.