[LS]

States poll.com which looks at samples for real world breakdowns, adjusts this to just over 5 today-—right where Rasmussen is.

[Political Junkie Too]

I entered all the new polls from RCP this morning into my model, and then compared it to a copy using all the statespoll.com adjustments for September polls.

Unadjusted: Trump has an expected value of 256.9 electoral votes, with a 43% probability of getting 270 or more.

Adjusted: Trump has an expected value of 266.5 electoral votes, with a 50% probability of getting 270 or more.

-PJ