But in the past 6 years, Wisconsin has voted out a long term democrat senator. They voted in a very conservative republican Governor. Just as Illinois trended from red to blue over several years. Wisconsin is in a long slow trend from blue to red. Right now its right there near the middle. If Hillary doesn’t get a strong 90% black vote here she will not win. Wisconsin’s democrats have been 70% in two camps. One is black and one is union. The unions are trending pro Trump. While the blacks may not turn out as they did for Obama.
I hope Wisconsin goes red. Don’t get me wrong.
It’s within 2 points and well inside the margin of error of 5%, so I hope he wins. Clark in Milwaukee definitely doesn’t hurt.
It’s really hard to tell how this poll did the party affiliation weightings, so a comment could be out of order, but if they went with any of the single digit independent numbers, then this poll is skewed toward democrats.