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Posted on 09/21/2016 6:28:14 AM PDT by GilGil
It’s a joke to say he was at 3%. His chances have never been that low.
Nate will predict “Trump has 100%” chance of winning, come November 9th.
Nate has also predicted there is a 0-100% chance of rain today.
Who cares about a constantly moving target?
Many freepers have said for months that pollsters who want to keep their reputations will be forced closer to the truth as the election gets close.
I’m not sure he will win as things stand now, especially with the voter fraud that WILL happen, but that could all change next week if he hands Hillary her fat cankle supported arse in the first debate, just exposes her like an atomic bomb. That first debate is sooooo important because they estimate a third of the country will be watching. Afterwards it will be much less in the other debates. He can turn it all around on the first and get enough support to win even with election fraud of which I have absolutEly no doubt this current criminal administration is assisting.
Many freepers have said for months that pollsters who want to keep their reputations will be forced closer to the truth as the election gets close.
_________________
True
Clown Nate is soooo conflicted
He so wants to give Hillary 99% chance of winning but he also knows Professor Helmut Norpoth’s prediction of a TRUMP win so he has to thread lightly LOL
Trump or Bust
Fox, WSJ, NBC, maybe Monmouth and Suffolk will get closer, but they won’t get Trump in the lead. They will have him 1-point down so it will keep their reputations intact.
It was obvious then he was the one person who could beat Clinton (assuming that she lives) and its obvious now.
She is toxic - Trump grows on people
Those who want their "free stuff" could care less about globalism. They want to be taken care of.
“elections guru Nate Silver”
LOL.
Nate Silver is a joke.
His prediction from last year:
“If you want absurd specificity, I recently estimated Trump’s chance of becoming the GOP nominee at 2 percent.”
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/donald-trumps-six-stages-of-doom/
LOL
It is the People vs the Elites.
The Elites include the old media most of Academe, many of the top wealthy, and all are globalists.
Trump down 5 points going into the election and Trump wins. this is not even close.
Amazing how they always skew the samples... It’s always Clinton +1 or tied... Gotta keep the RCP average in Clinton’s favor... when it is close to tipping, ABC/Wash Post, or CBS/NYTimes comes out with a huge over-sampling of Ds to put her back in the lead... It’s all about controlling the narrative.
Trump won the Lauer Forum decisively.
Separately... Heck is up by 4 in the new Ras poll... Close to putting it out of reach. This, on top of Trump being up 3 in NV... looks like good news all around from that state.
These numbers are 538’s polls-plus forecast. Polls-only is slightly worse but getting better every day.
Matt Bevin-Alison Lundergran Grimes 2014.
Last polls before the election had Bevin down by 5.
He won by 10. It wasn’t close that year in KY.
Ditto for Donald J. Trump.
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