[xzins]

This poll is all over mid-day Fox News, the anti-Trump hours.

This poll also had a 4.5% MOE even with the oversampling. IOW, the 5 point lead was barely outside the MOE.

It also says that when a phone was answered it immediately asked to speak to the youngest member of the household. Presumably that means youngest voting aged person, but it doesn’t really say that. Maybe they’re using the youngest member to report the behavior of the other members of the household.

It all is so bizarre.

[LS]

Well, I have gotten two odd phone calls from unknown area codes that were identified as corporate callers that, as soon as they heard my voice (obviously not a kid) they hung up.

[LS]

USC poll vastly oversamples non-whites, women.

Real poll now is at +3 for Trump, in line with UPI.

[Political Junkie Too]

This poll also had a 4.5% MOE even with the oversampling. IOW, the 5 point lead was barely outside the MOE.

MOE doesn’t work that way.

Trump's result could be 4.5% higher, and Clinton's result could be 4.5% lower. In that case, Trump would be ahead.

-PJ