Which ones ? They’re all over the map. You can safely put GA and NC based solely on the 2012 results alone. Trump will carry every Willard state as a bedrock.
Which is why the model shows it as a toss-up right now.
You can safely put GA and NC based solely on the 2012 results alone.
I will, as soon as the polls show it. This isn't a model of what I want, it's a model of what the data says. If the data is corrupt, then people will call the pollsters out on it sooner or later.
-PJ