Do you see any of Bernie’s, Stein’s, or Johnson’s voters breaking toward Trump if your prediction turns out to be accurate?
The thing about Bernie’s supporters are they are mostly younger... and Bernie was the left version of Trump.. in that he was running anti establishment... Many of the problems Bernie was citing were legitimate issues, that need attention... but his solutions to them were horrible.
The Bernie supporters who see a corrupt system and recognize fighting the corrupt system must be a priority, some of those may break Trumps way... most are only supporting Hillary begrudgingly at best anyway... but will it be big numbers? Doubtful.... more than likely they will just stay home. But hey, you never know.
As for Stein, yea, nah, I can’t see anyone supporting her deciding to go Trump, she’s a grandma tree hugger, I don’t think anyone backing that is going to end up supporting a major Alpha Male like Trump no matter what.
Johnson, well that’s interesting, I doubt you will see someone who is hard core Johnson move to Trump.... But I do believe that some of Johnson’s support is likely coming with folks who are anti hillary, but just for various reasons do not trust Trump or believe he is too big of a risk or Crazy... etc... so it is possible that some of that set may be among those who conclude Trump is not the crazy racist Hillary and the press portray him as, so I will support him. Will it be big shift? Not sure... I know that I am very hard pressed to think on election day he’s going to get high single digits.. There are certainly some Nevertrump’s in the Johnson camp, and I would expect those to mostly come home if Trump comes out of the debates looking reasonable.
If Johnson has a few more major flubs, innocuous or not, it won’t help his cause.. because lets face it, that’s about the only time he really gets any major press... he’s not going to make the debate stage, so I certainly can’t see his support growing and most likely slowly shrinking over time.