[Pollster1]

Obama won Ohio in 2012 by 3%

[BlackFemaleArmyColonel]

Really???

[M-cubed]

Obama won Ohio in 2012 by 3% <<

That was only the dead voter count...

[LS]

I think it was about 170,000 votes. I always think of things in terms of the “flip.” All you have to do is flip 86,000 of those from the D to the R column.

Now, we’ve already had a very significant NET gain in Cuyahoga County-—as I recall, it was about 26,000 Rs over Ds (R new registrations vs. D losses). So right there the flip is down to 60,000. Then there’s the turnout, which should easily add 100,000. So even without flipping anyone else, Trump should start OH with a tie.