Had Romney won PA, FL and OH, he'd be president today. Just those three states were the difference.
I think Donald Trump has an excellent chance to not only win those three but other 2012 "blue" states as well.
I don’t see FL as even really seriously “in play.” The GOP increases in registration alone have made up the 74,000 that Minion lost by, and Trump will bring out so many more. The only state I’m really concerned about is VA.
There have only been two polls from fairly unknown outfits that had Trump ahead in VA. All the others have had “leading” pollsters show him ahead. Course, all that can change soon.
I do think he has NV and IA pretty secure, AZ tucked away.