Posted on 08/19/2016 3:33:03 PM PDT by oblomov
Donald Trump received one of his better polling results on Thursday — at least since the conventions. The highly regarded Pew Research Center released a survey showing Hillary Clinton leading Trump by 41 percent to 37 percent, with Gary Johnson at 10 percent and Jill Stein at 4. Consequently, Clinton’s chances of winning the election dropped 2 points in both our forecasts, to 86 percent in polls-only and to 76 percent in polls-plus.
The fact that a 4-point deficit is a “good” result for Trump should give you a sense for how poorly he’s doing. Clinton remains a clear favorite to win the White House. There was, however, another interesting bit of info in the Pew poll: The youngest voters in the electorate don’t seem very enamored with the major-party candidates.
Clinton led Trump 38 percent to 27 percent among 18- to 29-year-olds, with Johnson at 19 percent and Stein at 9 percent, according to Pew. That is, Clinton was winning a smaller share of under-30 voters than she was of voters overall. That’s unusual, and normally, I wouldn’t pay much attention to such a result because the margin of error on subgroups (especially younger voters, who are more difficult to reach in a poll) is large. But Pew’s finding is fairly consistent with other surveys since the conventions.
(Excerpt) Read more at fivethirtyeight.com ...
“The highly regarded Pew Research Center “ Really? Pew hasn’t been highly regarded for quite some time.
Journalists should have to write, “In a poll highly regarded by me...” rather than using the “authorial we”.
That first paycheck, which is much smaller than expected, is usually the start of an awakening.
Amen! It's also now down to FourTwentyFive.
She can’t drive..... GOOD maybe she won’t be able to get to the voting booth!!!!
Trump would get this demographic if Ron Paul campaigns with him and he promises to audit the Fed. I’m dead serious.
This is a two step propaganda.
step 1: bash hillary to attract Trump supporters.
step 2: exaggerate supposed flaws in Trump to depress enthusiasm.
15 posted on 8/20/2016, 8:25:47 AM by proust (Trump / Pence 2016!)
http://freerepublic.com/focus/news/3461283/posts?page=15#15
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