[usafa92]

Fyi

[Rokke]

More than any previous election, I think polls this year are going to be way off. Part of that is bias (intentional and unintentional) by the pollsters. But a larger part is that when only 10% of the people you contact will agree to even participate in a poll, you have no idea what a vast majority of the population is thinking. So more than ever, polls this year are useful only to get a sense of trend. And even then, only if each poll maintains consistency in how they poll.

With that said, Trump might be down by 10, up by 10 or tied right now, but clearly the momentum in this race is in his favor. That should terrify the Clinton campaign because Trump has been the subject of the worst media lynching in American political history for the last three weeks.

Since polls mean less this election, other indicators are going to mean more. Obama campaigning during his vacation is a signal. Hillary relying on celebraties to help draw campaign appearance crowds is an indicator. Normally ignored, mass participation polls (like the Iowa kernel poll) are an indicator. The Fireman's Union going back on their decision to come out with a Hillary endorsement is an indicator. Lots of tells out there to gouge the state of the race. Trump is alive and well. LOTS of peaks and valleys yet to come.

[WENDLE]

Thanks. These polls are funny. They are way too early to mean anything. They measure simpleminded sheeple who actually talk to pollsters and they are ludicrously small samples easily manipulated for a narrative. No person with a cognition would vote for an indicted criminal liar in bad health who takes bribes.

[GOPJ]

Thanks... we’re within range...