National polls as such aren’t the true indication of the next Presidential winner. This election
will be determined in few swing states. Those states could include Virginia, Colorado, Iowa,
New Hampshire, Florida, Nevada, and Ohio, possibly others. It will become more clear in a few weeks.
The states follow the national averages. All states have a D+ or R+ rating which closely aligns to the national numbers. Except in a few rare cases the EC will align to the popular vote.
What a sad commentary on what immigration has done. All of the states you listed were formerly solid or at least usually conservative voting states.