I’m confused. Why does that “look good”? Yes, the Reps have gained more new voters, but still trail substantially. What am I not seeing?
18,200 dem advantage in voters is now 15,900 in a democratic county.
What you are not seeing is that the ratio of registered Republicans to registered Democrats has increased by 5%. If a similar change in sentiment has occurred statewide and among independent voters, then Hillary is unlikely to win Florida.
dem change 12-16 = +3,186
repub change 12-16 = + 5,382
net gain in repub favor = + 2,196
since obammy won this county by 1% in 2012
consider 100% voter turn out for dems 73,620 x .01 = +736
net gain by repub 12-16 = 2,196 - 736 = st lucie county should go repub by +1,460 votes this year if all the new repubs vote.
saavy?