Posted on 08/17/2016 4:07:52 AM PDT by sukhoi-30mki
CHINA could match the military might of the US in a decade and any conflict between them would rock the entire world economy.
That is the frightening warning issued by research organisation, Rand Corporation, which highlights how the US and China remain at loggerheads over several regional disputes with large military forces operating closely together.
In its new report War With China, Thinking Through the Unthinkable, Rand warn any conflict would ultimately be intense, destructive and protracted.
If an incident occurred or a crisis overheated, both have an incentive to strike enemy forces before being struck by them, the report warns.
And if hostilities erupted, both have ample forces, technology, industrial might, and personnel to fight across vast expanses of land, sea, air, space and cyberspace.
The report also warns while the US has the military might to win any such conflict now, that may not be the case within a decade as the Asian powerhouse catches up.
By 2025, Rand predicts China will have built up its ability to saturate enemy naval forces with missiles and a US victory at this stage would be more uncertain.
The US remains the biggest spender on military across the globe, spending four times as much as rival China. Figures released by Global Firepower (GFP) confirms spending in 2015 was highest for the US ($581bn) followed by China ($155bn).
(Excerpt) Read more at news.com.au ...
With a real Commander-in-Chief it would last about four hours and China’s population problem would be lessened.
The lesson of Red Dawn: They have more soldiers. We have more bullets.
War would come suddenly— I believe this is how it will work out:
1. China moves on another nation (Vietnam?)
2. US sends ships
3. In a mix-up there is a battle at sea—US Carrier is sunk.
4. Chinese attack Pearl Harbor and San Diego with nukes
5. Demands that Japan close all US Bases and stay neutral.
6. China and North Korea attack South Korea
7. China rolls into Vietnam—The Vietnamese win some victories but once Haiphong falls it will be over. Troops from USA will help with battle to hold HoChiMen City—but it will fail.
8. a move on Thailand (It will join China) and Taiwan.
9. US will nuke Shanghai and Canton.
10. China will nuke San Francisco, Seattle, Atlanta and New York.
11. Treaty of peace signed—cost 100,000 lives on both sides.
Are they walking across the Pacific Ocean to invade? Shanghai to San Francisco requires nine days sailing time one-way at a 25 knot sprint with no port calls; or, twelve hours flight time non-stop coast-to-coast. Logistics is the killer-app of conventional war.
With that said—Alaska’s Aleutian islands are a possible beach-head—the Japanese explored that option.
First move is to sow confusion by subverting massive amounts of computer managed utilities and communications operations. Everything has some component functions off-loaded to remote management, without a viable local paper based fall-over for continuity. The confusion would take months to sort out.
It certainly is. Therefore conventional war would be utterly boneheaded. Nuclear war even worse. Such a hideous waste of energy. Gradual creeping takeover is the way to go, especially when you already have over a billion people who are accustomed to being told what to do.
I'm sure you're aware of China's fingers in Africa and South America, as well as here. You could call it economic colonialism, or you could call it investment. You'll never have to call it any sort of hostility.
Smart.but these dem leaders won’t ever fight anyone so I guess we just lose.
The other option is to build up a huge conventional force that can win on the first punch like Mike Tyson. We cannot “go the distance” anymore.
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