“That isn’t being subversive. “
I’ve seen a lot of people ping admins claiming that they found “trolls” when these supposed “trolls” are making a rational claim that might be interpreted as some kind of remark against Trump. It happened here and there during the 2008 and 2012 elections, but it’s gone to the extreme this time around.
I questioned someone that claimed to have insider knowledge of Trump’s actual polling numbers ... that person flipped out and accused me of being some kind of “sleeper” Freeper (they didn’t do a good job checking out my posting history).
Overall, don’t pay to much attention to these types.
As for this poll, it seems to be confirming a trend that the seawitch’s numbers are falling back to “normal” and it’s a ridiculously close race at this point. That is NOT good for Clinton ... at all. As many have pointed out, she is a known quantity and her appeal to voters is going to be quite static. Trump is the exact opposite ... he has nowhere to go but up.
If Trump starts the final stretch of his campaign in two weeks (i.e. the 1st of September), the Dems aren’t going to know what hit them and you’ll start to see panic set in on their side. I also suspect you are going to see a lot of these yellowbelly GOPe people start to shut up once they see tangible results and start running to Trump (while I hate those maggots, they will help in the Northeast and in rustbelt states).
The media is having a field day right now since they can all but write their own narrative, but people that Trump needs to get out and vote aren’t exactly paying attention right now. It’s still summer. Once they start paying attention, Trump will be there be it TV ads or other campaign tools.
I’m of the opinion that this is his election to lose ... yeah, sometimes the polls make me nauseous and I question myself, but that doesn’t happen very often anymore. The only downside to this strategy that I can think of is that Hillary is rallying her base ... but she’s not doing a very good job of that if she’s kind of stuck in the mid 40s.
I saw three polls in Wisconsin (where I live) and I know a lot about this state, the number of Dems versus Reps and patterns. When a poll comes out here (and I still think we are barely a swing state for president...we are purple) and they have 4-5% more Dems than Reps, I think that part is accurate. The bigger issue is the Dem get out the vote here. Blacks voted for Obama in droves, but they also voted for Kerry and Gore in droves. I think Hillary carries this state. Not by the 13% the guy from Marquette had a week or so ago, but I think she'll get a 4% margin unless something breaks on the news front. Trump made a mistake here in bashing Walker. It still makes a lot of my friends mad. In some respects, I don't blame them. We had 8 years of a crummy democrat who damn near ruined the state. Walker gave us Act 10 which killed the teachers union and state unions, photo ID, a much better DNR, lower taxes by a lot, froze the UW budget for two years, defunded planned parenthood at the state level, lowered spending and improved the business climate. I'm voting for Trump, but just don't believe he'll carry enough republicans to win the state. Democrats here are really the old fashioned unionista, left wing, liberal almost socialist types who won't cross over to vote for Trump.
As for the rest of the country, I can still see hope in Pennsylvania. Western PA has really changed over the years, but can it overtake the Philly area? Don't know. Virginia? Tough state to win. I think he wins Florida and Ohio, but still needs a big state like PA or Michigan to get him the win. Ultimately, polls with tighten to 2-5%. Hopefully Hillary's emails continue to emerge from whoever is leaking them.