I’m not surrendering. That isn’t the point.
On RCP, these are the toss up states: part of Maine, Nevada, Arizona, Iowa, Ohio, N Carolina, Michigan, Missouri, Georgia.
The blue states have given Hillary 256 electors. Trump has 154.
In order to win, Trump needs every single battleground state except that one elector in northern Maine. Is it possible? Sure, but it has to happen. I’m not confident. The oligarchy knows how to rule people and destroy people with those media mongrels. They are doing a damn good job. Trump has been vilified.
If you are not confident then you should not be in the game. Make room for those who are confident and simple step aside.
If you’re looking at battlegrounds, I’d suggest keeping an eye out for updates on this polling data.
http://axiomstrategies.com/abc
I understand your concern, but you, among many, many others, have PTSD based upon what the media has been able to do in too many past elections. This is a different time and a different place in history, and much of the logic that was valid before is not valid now.
There is an essential lifetime between now and November (in the political context), and this is not the time to be pessimistic.