Could not agree with you more!!
Please, God, don’t inflict that wicked witch upon us!!!
It is all about turnout. The composition of the electorate on November 8 will decide the race. If Hillary can assemble the Obama coalition from 2008 and 2012, she will win. If Trump gets rural, white, working-class voters to the polls in large numbers and keeps the electorate to D +3 or less, he probably wins.
Most polls have baked into them an assumption of what the electorate will look like based on prior years. The question this year is whether that is accurate or not.