What concerns me are these reports in every poll that they are “polling,” say, 1000 “adults” of whom 800 are registered voters.
Ok, laying aside for a moment that we know “registered” voters are about 2 points more D than “likely” voters in November . . . .
The polls NEVER tell us WHO they are actually polling. So you have a sample of 1000 and a sub sample of 800-—but that doesn’t mean your poll is from the sub sample, it only means you HAVE a sub sample.
What I’m increasingly thinking-—and again, could be really off here-—is that they are using this clever wording to “salt” or “dilute” (whichever term you want) the sample of registered voters by including adults.
So a sample of 800 “registered voters” may, in fact only be a sample of 600 registered voters combined with 200 adults.
Do you see what I’m saying here or am I just nuts?
I wonder how many voting age adults use the internet and of those, how many are “politically interested?”
How do those stack up against the people the pollsters claim they talk to?
Which numbers are more reliable? The “registered voters” the pollsters claim to call, or the “politically minded” of us that take internet polls, join social media groups, etc?
Pollsters tell us that so far, Hillary is going to run away with this election, but social media says exactly the opposite. Below are numbers taken from an article
http://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2016/08/evidence-trump-landslide/
Numbers from that article I find hilarious because crooked hillary has more than twice as many subscribers in one category than the other.
Trump: 197,696 subscribers
Hillary: 24,429 subscribers
Hillary for Prison: 55,228 subscribers
“Hillary for Prison’s Reddit feed has more than double subscribers of Hillary’s Reddit page, equating to Trump having 700% more Reddit subscribers.”
“Hillary is proving that she is a terrible candidate. No one likes her and no one trusts her. Based on turnouts at campaign events and on social media, if the election were today… Trump would likely win in a Landslide!”
Bill Stills video take on the article in question:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5pXLGdVlxqk
I’d like to believe that Americans favor Trump as much as it appears they do based on his “internet” numbers, but given the history of vote fraud that just seems to get worse with each election, I fear that these polls we’re being fed are the lead in to be sure we accept the rigged election coming in November instead of what we can actually see occurring in social media and online polls.