With that said, this is the ONLY poll showing a Trump lead.”
This new poll is either going to be the most accurate poll in history...a little nugget of truth among the rest which will be exposed as pure propaganda.
Or, this new poll will be a false hope for us.
I don’t guess we know yet.....that’s why these months before an election are always so difficult.
The methodology worked in 2012. So fingers crossed....
I do think the polls skew Clinton at this point, but mainly because they are registered voter polls as opposed to likely voter polls. That will change after Labor Day.
This USC poll is going to have a large sample size, it continues to grow. They expect the sample to have about 6,000 people by November. Also, they weight for D/R/I and likelihood of voting.
Whether the methodology is sound remains to be seen. But it is an impressive sample size, much larger than the typical Drive-By poll.