Your post is excellent.
I would only add, that the alternative to Russia having the Crimea, is that Turkey takes over, as they are poised to do. That would mean, in turn, that ISIS has a new base, right on the edge of Europe.
Right now, I’m much more worried about Erdogan that I am Putin.
Putin invades Europe, everybody will be against him.
If Erdogan invades, EVERY Muslim in Europe will support him.
Huh? Why is that the only option? It was part of Ukraine before the Russian invasion. It can be part of Ukraine again.
That would mean, in turn, that ISIS has a new base, right on the edge of Europe.
I think you don't know what ISIS is if you think that Turkey and ISIS are indistinguishable.