Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article

To: Kozy

“Throw them out and in the swing states Trump is probably up by 3 in those swing states.”

My point exactly...in fact I think he may even better numbers than that. I am trying to find a way to break out the CO,NM and MI numbers and calculate back, but the methodology is very complicated, which in itself tells me they have many ways to effect the results.

After this battleground polling, the next Axiom Battleground poll should be interesting. That polls the seven counties in seven states that predict national elections with uncanny accuracy. Trump did very well in the last poll, leading in 5 out of 7. The counties/states he wins are FL, NC, PA, OH, WI .. tied in CO and down in VA. The last 2 polls show a move to Trump in everyone of the counties. Another poll should be out in a day or two.

http://axiomstrategies.com/abc/


34 posted on 07/24/2016 11:19:56 AM PDT by MaxistheBest
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 27 | View Replies ]


To: MaxistheBest

Best I can tell is by stripping out CO, MI, and NV, based on previous state polls in these states, Trump would gain 1% for every 2% deviation off the poll’s up 2% result. So Trump could very well be averaging a 5 point lead in FL, IA, NC, NH, OH, PA, VA, WI.


41 posted on 07/24/2016 12:02:57 PM PDT by MaxistheBest
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies ]

To: MaxistheBest
Let's look at your 7 states and how counties in those states predict the winners. Look FLA has enough New Yorkers in it to like DJT and push the state to him. The DNC lets screw Bernie, Jewish voters, won't help either.
NC is down the toilet because of the people jamming stuff down others throats. Gone.
PA, “We will close coal mines and put miners out of work. State is hurting and they will vote for jobs not for shutting down mines. Also big gun state
OH, Kasich is the key there. Not. Jobs lost to overseas manufacturers loses the state for bad trade policies which Hillary supported.
WI, I just don't know except if gun owners come out to vote
CO, Hillary is coming to take your guns.
VA to the west about coal and jobs. Tough one to break.
NM isn't worth the time.
MI is gone, too many illegal muslims see Flint, Detroit, Gran Rapids.

Mainly people are pissed off. The anger at the elite class you know the 99%, will burn Washington down this year.

42 posted on 07/24/2016 12:10:15 PM PDT by Kozy (new age haruspex)
[ Post Reply | Private Reply | To 34 | View Replies ]

Free Republic
Browse · Search
News/Activism
Topics · Post Article


FreeRepublic, LLC, PO BOX 9771, FRESNO, CA 93794
FreeRepublic.com is powered by software copyright 2000-2008 John Robinson