Except most of the current polls DO show Trump leading:
LA/USC poll, Trump +4
OAN, Trump 50-49, but he’s over 50
Rasmussen: 44-43, but taken last week before the convention
Morning Consult: Trump +4
Only if you go to the terribly biased Reuters or Fox polls do you get a different result.
ALL of these polls are still D heavy, some less so than others. The ABC poll (which I think was a 3 point Cankles lead) showed Trump +20 with indies . . . so they oversampled Ds by 1 and undersampled Is by a ton.
LS, great post, as usual. We have nitpicked in the past but that is a sublime, well-summated post...