In 2016 there were 28,269,195. A net decrease of 9,842,146 (-29%)
In 2012 there were 19,214,513 Republican votes in primary.
In 2016 there were 30,261,999. A net increase of 11,047,486 (+57%)
Intersting voting stats.
So let’s remember that these polls don’t measure motivation to go vote, and may be slanted towards Hillary anyway.
So the actual electorate which shows up on Nov. 8th may be very different than these samples used for polls.
And how do these polls make sense, when viewed with some battleground state polls? Some polls show Trump ahead in PA, Ohio, Florida, and Iowa. It’s hard to believe that Trump is ahead in some key states but is that far behind nationwide. Something doesn’t add up.
http://www.270towin.com/states/
In every one of the 11 battleground states, Obama got a lower % of the vote in 2012 than in 2008.
I believe these pollsters have a bank of trusted (liberal) registered voters that they can input into the call bank to move the needle when they have to.