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To: GilGil

Er, no. I said it first. Scott was second, you’re third :)

I said in August Trump would win the GOP nomination in a landslide and I’ve been very clear about the general: it will NOT be a “landslide” (which requires CA and NY and MA, and MN) but it will be a very big Electoral College victory (I think 320-330 EVs and a somewhat narrower 3-point popular vote margin.

Trump would have to overcome at least 3 million votes to win CA-—not entirely unrealistic, because that’s only a flip of 1.5m, of which 150,000 alone can come from distraught Bernie voters. But it’s still Everest.


9 posted on 07/13/2016 7:48:44 AM PDT by LS ("Castles Made of Sand, Fall in the Sea . . . Eventually" (Hendrix))
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To: LS

320-330 Ev’s. sounds good to me.


38 posted on 07/13/2016 10:40:08 AM PDT by GilGil
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