The UK has existed since 1707. It’s hard to see how Scotland avoids finding enough votes to exit on this next referendum vote. What ought to bother them to some degree is that some districts of Scotland aren’t exactly fired up to be part of this new Scottish republic. So my other prediction is that after the independence vote occurs with Scotland....note that two or three districts of the region demand to have a referendum of their own....to exit Scotland. An enclave here....an enclave there, joining back with England.
So there’s three-quarter Scotland existing and thinking they will quickly get into the EU. Shockingly...the paperwork and animosity involved...delays their entry for months and months. There’s going to be questions over their financial ability....accusing them to be another Greek basket case. Meanwhile, Scots will wake up and realize that they have a fair amount of taxation involved now to pay for all the services and infrastructure of their new state. A year into this new land....anticipate that a quarter of the population are frustrated and angry because things are going as planned.
London-City and their anticipated exit referendum? Same deal. They might find 65-percent of the public to support their enclave city-state outside of the UK. But who will pay the taxes? And if you have neighborhood after neighborhood demanding an exit referendum of their own from London-City back to England...how will that enclave gimmick survive?
Is a union between the Republic of Ireland, Ulster and the exiting parts of Scotland beyond imagining?