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So Hillary is really considered the incumbent. If an incumbent is below 50% in the polls, they generally will lose. It is also important to note that Hillarys constituents are not energized. They are quite demoralized, the only news they look forward to is that she is not indicted.... Trumps supporters are energized and will show up to vote. Demoralized constituents generally find a reason to not vote. I think she will be crushed if she is the candidate. If Biden steps in, Trump will be.. “Oh great your bench strength is Creepy Joe Biden??? He is the kind of guy hanging out in the bathroom at Target That is your best hope? “

Well the Joe Biden gambit likely won't happen. I believe that was the plan last year when Biden decided not to run. The Dem establishment figured that he could be slipped onto the ticket should Crooked Hillary get indicted or otherwise drop out of the race. Add Fauxahontas and you had the near perfect ticket: A sitting vice president and a biological female.

But Bernie Sanders threw a monkey wrench into things. He was supposed to have been dispatched weeks ago making Crooked Hillary the presumptive nominee. However, not only is he still hanging around but he has enough won delegates to make the case that he should be the nominee should Crooked Hillary be forced from the race.

It would be very difficult, if not impossible, for the Democrats to justify handing Biden the nomination when Bernie has nearly 2,000 delegates, millions of actual votes and a ton of states won, including most of the final contests.

Now this puts the Dems in quite a pickle. They don't want Bernie as nominee any more than the establishment GOP wanted Donald Trump. But they are likely to be stuck with him should the Wicked One get forced from the race.

Trump will have a field day if they slip in anyone but Sanders at this point. Clinton can’t rig an election competently, anyone else will be easily accused of stealing the nomination from Sanders.

While Hillary has more actual votes than Sanders, the psychological effect of Hillary getting 500-700 superdelegates right from the beginning (between 20% and 33% of the needed votes) had a suppressing effect on Sanders’ support.