May 20, 2016
916 Respondents
Hillary Clinton (Democrat) 35.8%
Donald Trump (Republican) 32.3%
Other/Wouldn't vote/refused 31.9%
Blacks
May 20, 2016
168 Respondents
Hillary Clinton (Democrat) 62.0%
Other/Wouldn't vote/refused 27.0%
Donald Trump (Republican) 11.0%
what was the male vote percentages?
That 11% Black vote is about the bedrock percent that has voted Republican for President since 1968. Turning the 27% don’t know/refused group is paramount. No Republican has won over 25% of the Black vote since Nixon in 1960 against JFK. The Dems could not lose 25% of the Black vote today and win nationally (as the White vote is far more GOP than it was in 1960), and if Trump can get to 30%, it’s all over for the Butcheress of Benghazi.
Can’t trust Reuters until they bring in Green Helmet Guy. Everything they do is staged.
Five months to go - I would guess that the Dems will be frantic by the beginning of September....
May 20, 2016
168 Respondents
Hillary Clinton (Democrat) 62.0%
Other/Wouldn't vote/refused 27.0%
Donald Trump (Republican) 11.0%
________________________________________
Bush 43 received 11% of the Black vote in 2004.
It's only May now. Unless 100% of the 27% "Other/Wouldn't vote/refused" break for Clinton, she may be completely "schlonged".
(I expect Trump to pick a VP who will help him with minorities. I also expect that he won't tell us about it until the moment that it maximizes the interest and excitement about his choice. Maybe as long as 8 weeks from now.)
I guess Reuters needed to get a poll up going the other way. Got to keep the Real Clear Politics average from getting too high...
If Trump could get 11% black vote in the general, it’s over.