looks like Fatima Merkel isn't as smart as she thought she was
Posted on 05/10/2016 10:28:47 AM PDT by Olog-hai
A poll published on Tuesday shows that just under two-thirds of Germans do not want Chancellor Angela Merkel to run for office again in elections next year.
The poll conducted by INSA for Cicero magazine asked people if they thought Merkel should run for a fourth term and 64 percent responded that she should not.
Other polling figures show that if an election were held now, Germany’s two main political parties would barely scrape together 50 percent of the vote between them. …
(Excerpt) Read more at thelocal.de ...
So a third of Germany is muslim now?
That's step one.
Then steps two to a million is getting the Muslims out.
So who replaces her?
Must be a bunch of sexists.
I hope they have that mush time before they are burned out.
It is a little late to be waking up.
The fed election is not scheduled until Oct/Nov of 2017....unless she quits early or a major loss on the three state elections in Apr/May 2017 occurs.
From the CDU Party (Merkel’s center-right party)...no one really gets anyone excited as her replacement. Note, she says absolutely that she retires next year, period.
From the SPD Party (center-left), they are in dismal shape and have no one that excites the public. Their numbers have gone from high 20’s...to 19.5 percent (two weeks ago was that poll). Dismal numbers.
So, the Greens are staying around 13-percent and have two choices....a progressive Green guy or a Turk. Neither really help the Greens much.
The Linke Party (former communists and leftists now) will be lucky to get around 10-percent. Their candidate is a clever gal, who’d like to flip over to anti-immigrant stance but the party is keen to stay neutral or pro-immigrant.
So, there are two oddball parties left.
1. The AfD Party (anti-immigration), who currently hold at 15-percent, and they’ve got some enthusiasm but labeled a bunch of brown-shirts. In the east of Germany....they might get near 25-percent....but it won’t be that way on the western side of the country.
2. The CSU Party. Right-leaning Bavarian Party. Handshake deal between them and the CDU set them to a limit of Bavaria only for decades now. There’s talk they might go national....maybe get 15-percent of the national vote (they typically get 8.5 percent in a national election but it’s all Bavarian votes). Their issue is that they don’t have a flashy guy that would appeal across the spectrum.
The public, I live here, so I can judge this....is mostly disgruntled and wanting the open door policy to end....stronger tactics on radical Islam...and some people from Berlin to be held responsible for their actions. They’d fire Merkel now....but then what? That’s the general problem in that public really doesn’t see Berlin leadership getting any better.
They invented a new word last year....Merklin. It means you as a leader....simply stand and observe things occurring....never doing anything to stop or change the mess in progress. Kids use the term often....referring to school officials, local political figures, and national folks with the term.
****they’ve got some enthusiasm but labeled a bunch of brown-shirts****
If the muslims keep attacking the host country, I imagine that label will not have much impact and the AfD will gain in popularity.
Why wait until the election? The damage is being done now.
Can Muslims vote for a woman?
Maybe as long as she doesn’t drive a car.
Like “US” if they can survive till then!
That should displace her whole party.
Auf wiedersehen, AnGULa.
Is there any political precedent in Germany for removing her from office before 2017?
looks like Fatima Merkel isn't as smart as she thought she was
There are probably three scenarios.
1. Two state elections occur in Oct/Nov of this year....both in eastern side of the country. If her party did really bad (less than 20-percent in either) then the party might ask her to go ahead and resign.
2. Three state elections in the spring of 2017...same deal as above.
3. There is this deal between the EU and Turkey...where the EU pays off Turkey 3 billion Euro and gives them some free visas, and Turkey agrees to ‘hold back’ the refugee crowd. For about six weeks, it seems to have worked. The EU however, has decided this free visa deal with Turkey will have to have some mandatory requirements....which upset Turkey greatly. If you noticed the news from last week...the Turk foreign minister resigned. There’s some belief that Turkey is about to drop this ‘hold back’ the refugee crowd, and if so....then we go back to 100,000 folks crossing the Med and heading to Germany. Public opinion is barely happy right now...but if we go back to 100,000 a month...it’ll be a major failure for Merkel and I think she’d have to resign.
On the whole, I don’t think a new person will really be fixing this because it’ll still end up being someone who can’t close the door on asylum, immigration or improve integration.
There is such a large divide with the public, and the state-run news media is extremely multi-culty and pro-asylum. They drive the message each day back toward the public. I think the 2017 election will just go to pro-immigration, and by 2021...that election will see some really hostile voters in the majority...with them wanting to dump the state-run news media and TV tax along with the refugee problem.
Toss in a Trump presidency which disturbs the state-run news media here, and you have a charged up period for the next five to ten years.
Thanks for that insightful analysis. Here’s hoping for scenario 1, since that would end this sooner.
Thanks Olog-hai.
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