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To: taildragger

But Trump edges slightly ahead if the stay-at-home option is removed. Trump also now does twice as well among Democrats as Clinton does among Republicans.

A new Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters finds Trump with 41% support to Clinton’s 39%. Fifteen percent (15%) prefer some other candidate, and five percent (5%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)

This is the first time Trump has led the matchup since last October. Clinton held a 41% to 36% advantage in early March.

Trump now has the support of 73% of Republicans, while 77% of Democrats back Clinton. But Trump picks up 15% of Democrats, while just eight percent (8%) of GOP voters prefer Clinton, given this matchup. Republicans are twice as likely to prefer another candidate.


2 posted on 05/02/2016 7:27:12 AM PDT by xzins ( Free Republic Gives YOU a voice heard around the globe. Support the Freepathon!)
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To: xzins

Now that Trump is clearly the nom the never Trumpers are melting away. It was all psywar. They intended to vote Trump all along if he was the nom.


7 posted on 05/02/2016 7:30:05 AM PDT by lodi90 (Clear choice for Conservatives now: TRUMP or lose)
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To: xzins
I think the pollsters grossly underestimate the blue-collar Democrat cross-over vote for Trump. Especially the blue-collar union members who keep their mouths shut.

I'd seen Richard Trumka on CNBC some weeks ago say that the Union leadership knows which of their members are Republicans vs. Democrats and they have an "active effort" going on to meet with their "Republican members" to "educate" them on the dangers of voting for Trump.

Yes, he used the words "dangers of voting for Trump."

15 posted on 05/02/2016 7:40:56 AM PDT by usconservative (When The Ballot Box No Longer Counts, The Ammunition Box Does. (What's In Your Ammo Box?))
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To: xzins

Interesting how the polls are left out that show him at 9% wth Latino voters, 75% of all women won’t vote for him, and trailing Hillary by 9-11% in the General.

But hey, whatever helps one sleep at night I suppose.

The GOP is nominating a disaster and the results are going to be a disaster.


18 posted on 05/02/2016 7:43:33 AM PDT by RIghtwardHo
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To: xzins

I’ve been saying this for a long time, anyone who thinks Clinton has a prayer of beating Trump has had their head in the sand this entire election cycle.

It won’t be 1984 type landslide, but it will be a very solid win for Trump that will completely redefine the electoral map, and hopefully wake the GOP up to the fact that they should be a growing party! And stop acting like they are managing the decline!

Yes, the NEOCONs and many of their mantras that sadly have gotten ingrained into the “conservative” narrative must die. BUt they were never conservative ideas in the first place.


35 posted on 05/02/2016 8:08:55 AM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: xzins

But Trump picks up 15% of Democrats, while just eight percent (8%) of GOP voters prefer Clinton, given this matchup.

...

And since there are more Dems than Republicans, the gap is larger in absolute numbers.


47 posted on 05/02/2016 8:24:08 AM PDT by Moonman62 (Make America Great Again!)
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To: xzins

Beginning to remind me more and more of 1980.


68 posted on 05/02/2016 10:20:01 AM PDT by pierrem15 ("Massacrez-les, car le seigneur connait les siens")
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To: xzins; taildragger
An analysis of the Rasmussen poll, extrapolated to the GENERAL ELECTION yields Trump 52% to Hillary 48%

TRUMP vs Hillary (National) Rasmussen 4/27-4/28 --extrapolated to the General Election yields Trump 52% -- Hillary 48%.

TRUMP vs Hillary(National) Rasmussen 4/27-4/28

Rasmussen Report: Trump 41%, Clinton 39%

TRUMP vs Hillary(National) Rasmussen 4/27-4/28, 1000 LV

TRUMP 41% | Hillary 39%

as My Analysis by Realistic Demographics

it would be TRUMP 52.08% | Hillary 47.92%

Details of My Analysis(Demographics)

TRUMP got 73% of the Republican / 15% of the Democrats / 37% of the Independents.

If I convert this poll as without Undecided/Vote for others.

1. TRUMP

1) Republican : 90.1% = 73% / 73%(TRUMP)+8%(Hillary)

2) Democrats : 16.3% = 15% / 15%(TRUMP)+77%(Hillary)

3) Independent : 54.4% = 37% / 37%(TRUMP)+31%(Hillary)

4) Election 2016, Realistic Demographic would be Republican 34% Democrats 38% Independent 28%.

5) Calculation :
34%(REP) X 90.1% + 38%(DEM) X 16.3% + 28%(Inde) x 54.5% = 52.08%

2. Hillary
100% - 52.08%(TRUMP) = 47.92%

76 posted on 05/02/2016 2:19:47 PM PDT by BagCamAddict (Wolverines!! #NeverHillary)
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