538’s “Can you get Trump to 1237” calculator is a lot easier now.
It starts at 957, but when you click “Follow the Experts” it adds an average of projections for remaining contests, minus outliers. That gets you to 1211! Only 26 more needed.
Here’s the thing: that only includes 17 for PA, and Trump will pick up as many as 42 of the 54 unbound delegates.
That would put Trump at 1253 for the first ballot.
Nate Silver is certainly not a Trump fan, so there is no wishful thinking here.
ABC news has Trump at 1002 as of now!
Bing has Trump projected to go to the convention with 1,330 delegates.
https://www.bing.com/search?q=delegate+count&PC=U316&FORM=CHROMN