“This is an MSNBC/WSJ poll. They have not been trustworthy in the past, and are usually outliers giving Cruz the edge. Are the real results much worse, or did they just decide to run an honest poll?”
This and IPFW/Downs Center appear to be outliers in the RCP list. Remove those, and the remainders give Trump a +6 average.
Well we’ll find out for sure on Tuesday!