We won’t need to worry about a contested convention. It’s all just talk from people desperate to stop Trump. Here’s the math:
Trump: 845 delegates
Tomorrow: 118 delegates (Trump is up big in all 5 states)
Total after tomorrow: 963 delegates
California: 172 delegates (Trump is up 20+ in California)
Total after tomorrow + California: 1135
That means after tomorrow, Trump will need 110 or so delegates out of the 330 from:
Indiana
Nebraska
West Virginia
Oregon
Washington (state)
Montana
New Jersey
New Mexico
South Dakota
It’s extremely unlikely that he won’t get 100 of those 330 delegates. Extremely extremely. In short...after tomorrow, it’s over.
From your lips to God’s ear.
That’s excellent scenario.
I looked that delegate count and you’re analysis is pretty good.
I figure that all he has to do is win any of the following states (winner take all):
Nebraska, South Dakota, Montana.
If Trump wins any one of the above, it’s over he wins.